Posts Tagged ‘all out war’

An Uneasy Peace and Hard Choices

Soldiers Carry `Lucky' Wounded

`They Kept Coming' (Photo and caption from Philippine Daily Inquirer)

It can’t be easy to be Marvic Leonen  in Mindanao these days.

While achieving peace is Mindanao remains an overriding ideal, to say that the Al-Barka incident strikes a serious blow to the peace talks does not quite capture the complexity of the issues surrounding the Mindanao insurgency.

The ambush of  19 soldiers by the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (the single most brutal skirmish in years)  resurfaces some old questions, not least of which is the legal status of the conflict as well as the MILF themselves. The government at least seems unable to make up its mind whether this breakaway group of Nur Misuari’s Moro National Liberation Front (MNLF) should be treated as legitimate belligerents under international law or common bandits.  Perhaps they are something else entirely.

From a more pragmatic standpoint however, it raises doubts as to whether peace itself is attainable under the present framework.

For one, the ambush at Al-Barka begs the question of whether government is talking to the right people. If MILF admits responsibility for Al-Barka, then its sincerity and good faith are both vulnerable to scrutiny. On the other hand, if another group is responsible, the status of the MILF as “top dog” would appear to be disputable at best.

Indeed, the MILF’s insistence on a Bangsamoro sub-state presupposes their ability to preserve the peace themselves and to keep “splinter groups” such as Umbra Kato’s Bangsamoro Islamic Freedom Fighters (BIFF) in tow. If the MILF can’t prevent “disgruntled” members from taking up AK-47s and running amok amidst the scores of the Philippine Army’s best trained soldiers,  how can they possibly keep peace using a motley crew of ex-farmers?

If the MILF gets their sub-state, what are they going to do with it? One certainly can’t look at the ARMM for inspiration.